(Blog Toro) Aux États-Unis, les données économiques continuent d’être éclipsées, au moins dans les médias, par la frénésie financière entourant le PAPE Facebook qui doit être lancé demain. Néanmoins, il y a eu quelques événements dignes d’être mentionnés aux États-Unis. Hier, la Réserve fédérale a publié le procès-verbal de sa dernière réunion politique. Alors que, [...]

EUR/USD dropped to as low as 1.2641 last week and formed a short term bottom there, above 1.2625 low, and recovered. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for recovery to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 1.2844) and above. But strong resistance should be seen below 1.2994 to limit upside and bring fall resumption. Sustained break of 1.2625 will confirm resumption of whole decline from 1.

USD/JPY's decline continued last week and reached as low as 78.99, breaking mentioned 61.8% retracement of 76.02 to 84.17 at 79.13. Initial bias remains on the downside the week and current fall should target 75.56/76.02 support zone in near term. On the upside, break of 80.54 resistance is needed to indicate bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

GBP/USD's fall from 1.6300 accelerated to as low as 1.5731 last week before forming a temporary low there. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. But upside of recovery is expected to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6300 to 1.5731 at 1.5948 and bring fall resumption. Below 1.5731 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.5234 to 1.6300 at 1.5641 next.

USD/CHF's rally extended further to as high as 0.9499 last week before making a short term top there and retreated. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for retreat to 4 hours 55 EMA (now at 0.9351) and below. But downside is expected to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9041 to 0.9499 at 0.9324 and bring another rally. Above 0.9499 will target 0.9594 high next.

AUD/USD's decline extended further last week as expected and reached as low as 0.9794 so far. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 0.9663 support first, then 161.8% projection of 1.0852 to 1.0225 from 1.0473 at 0.9459. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 1.

Last week's strong rally in USD/CAD confirmed that consolidation pattern from 1.0656 is finished with three waves down to 0.9799. Near term outlook will now stay bullish as long as 1.0063 support holds, even in case of retreat. Current rally from 0.9799 is expected to extend to 1.0522/0656 resistance zone next.

GBP/JPY dived to as low as 124.64 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and current fall from 133.48 should target 61.8% retracement of 116.83 to 133.48 at 123.19 next. Sustained break there will target a test on 116.83/117.29 support zone next. On the upside, above 125.72 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations.

EUR/JPY's fall from 111.43 accelerated to as low as 100.20 last week and there is no so sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and current decline should extend to retest 97.03 low next. On the upside, above 101.90 will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery is expected to be limited below 104.

After initial dive to 0.7949, EUR/GBP formed a short term bottom there and rebounded. Initial bias remains mildly on the upside this week for further rally to 38.2% retracement of 0.8505 to 0.7949 at 0.8161. But upside should be limited there and bring another decline. Below 0.8024 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for 0.7949 and below.